Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.