Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.