Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.68% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%) , while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.