Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.