Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.