Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.04% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%) , while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.