Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 49%. A draw had a probability of 25.61% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 25.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 1-0 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.