Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.09% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.17%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%) , while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 1-2 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.