Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 2-1 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.