Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%).