Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-1 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.