Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 2-1 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.