World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 16, 2026 2.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Los Angeles Stadium
  • Ramin Rezaeian 32' goal
  • Mohammad Mohebi 64' goal
  • Ehsan Hajsafi 89' yellowcard
  • goal Elijah Just 7'
  • goal Elijah Just 54'

Iran vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

New Zealand

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%) , while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Iran 56.45% (+0.16)
Draw 23.3% (+0.06)
New Zealand 20.3% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.8% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.48% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 24.52% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 51.1% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 48.9% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 29.05% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 70.95% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 17% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 83% (+0.13)

Iran Goals

Over 1.5 51.92% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 48.08% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 25.84% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.16% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.45%
Under 3.5 89.55%

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 55.17% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 44.83% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 22.29% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 77.71% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 6.59% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 93.41% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 1.59% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.41% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Iran 56.45%
Draw 23.31%
New Zealand 20.3%
Iran
1-0 @ 11.61% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 10.24% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.06% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.04)
Other @ 10.35%
Total : 56.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.63% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.31%
New Zealand
0-1 @ 6.34% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.49% (-0.05)
Total : 20.3%

Build-up

How to watch
Head to head
Predicted Lineups