International Friendlies
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-
Shervoni Mabatshoev
19'
-
Alisher Dzhalilov
29'
-
Shervoni Mabatshoev
45'
-
Manucher Safarov
45'+4'
-
Alisher Dzhalilov
50'
-
Alisher Shukurov
90'+2'
-
Bimal Panday
48'
-
Rohit Chand
45'+4'
Tajikistan vs Nepal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 67.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Nepal win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.
Result
Tajikistan
67.21%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
20.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Nepal
12.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
44.27%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
49.18%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
28.75%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
71.25%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
13.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
86.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5
86.3%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
13.7%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
59.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
40.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5
51.29%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
48.7%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
16.26%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
83.74%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Tajikistan
67.21%
Draw
20.22%
Nepal
12.57%
Tajikistan
1-0
@
13.26%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 13.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 67.21%
2-0 @ 13.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 67.21%
Draw
1-1
@
9.54%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.22%
0-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.22%
Nepal
0-1
@
4.8%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 12.57%
1-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 12.57%