Philippines national football team
Friendlies 3
Sep 8, 2024 at 9.30am UK
Stadium Nasional Bukit Jalil
Tajikistan national football team

Philippines
0 - 0
Tajikistan


Martin Kristensen (62'), Miguel Reyes (71')
FT
Philippines win 0-0 on penalties
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Philippines and Tajikistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Lebanon 1-0 Tajikistan
Wednesday, September 4 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malaysia 2-1 Philippines
Wednesday, September 4 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
PhilippinesDrawTajikistan
68.97% (-0.232 -0.23)19.5% (0.123 0.12)11.52% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 43.33% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (-0.241 -0.24)48.68% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.217 -0.22)70.8% (0.22 0.22)
Philippines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.97% (-0.139 -0.14)13.02% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.42% (-0.287 -0.29)39.57% (0.288 0.29)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.82% (0.046999999999997 0.05)50.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.22% (0.032999999999999 0.03)84.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Philippines 68.96%
    Tajikistan 11.53%
    Draw 19.5%
PhilippinesDrawTajikistan
2-0 @ 13.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.23% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 68.96%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 19.5%
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 11.53%

How you voted: Tajikistan vs Philippines

Tajikistan
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Philippines
50.0%
6