International Friendlies
Sep 8, 2024 9.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium Nasional Bukit Jalil
  • Bjorn Martin Kristensen 62' yellowcard
  • Sandro Miguel Reyes 71' yellowcard

Philippines vs Tajikistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 4, 2024 2.00pm
Malaysia 2 - 1 Philippines

Tajikistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 4, 2024 9.30am
Lebanon 1 - 0 Tajikistan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Philippines 68.97% (-0.24)
Draw 19.5% (+0.13)
Tajikistan 11.52% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.33% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.31% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 48.68% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 29.2% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 70.8% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 14.12% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 85.87% (+0.15)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5 86.97% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 13.02% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 60.42% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 39.57% (+0.29)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5 49.82% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 50.18% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 15.22% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 84.78% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Philippines 68.96%
Draw 19.5%
Tajikistan 11.53%
Philippines
2-0 @ 13.57% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 13.32% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.36% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.23% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.7% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.92% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 68.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.54% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 19.5%
Tajikistan
0-1 @ 4.51% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 3.17% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.55% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 11.53%