Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 77.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Philippines win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.

Result
Malaysia	Draw	Philippines
77.96% ( -0.87)	13.8% ( 0.33)	8.24% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 50.8% (

1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.96% (

0.43)

32.04% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.39% (

0.51)

53.61% (

-0.51)

Malaysia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.39% (

-0.08)

6.61% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.44% (

-0.21)

24.55% (

0.21)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.39% (

1.62)

45.6% (

-1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.59% (

1.25)

81.41% (

-1.25)

Score Analysis

Malaysia 77.95%

Philippines 8.24%

Draw 13.8%

Malaysia	Draw	Philippines
2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.72% Total : 77.95%	1-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.93% Total : 13.8%	1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 8.24%