Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 77.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 8.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Philippines win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.