Friendlies 3
Jun 5, 2025 at 1pm UK
Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground
Nepal national football team

Hong Kong
0 - 0
Nepal


Fernando (30'), Soares Belitardo Junior (45+1')
FT

Tamang (37'), Panday (85'), Kumar Lama (90+1'), Kumar Lama (90+4')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Hong Kong and Nepal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Singapore 0-1 Nepal
Friday, March 21 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hong Kong win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw has a probability of 18.9% and a win for Nepal has a probability of 13.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Nepal win it is 0-1 (4.11%).

Result
Hong KongDrawNepal
67.6% (-0.613 -0.61)18.92% (0.206 0.21)13.47% (0.401 0.4)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.46 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.54% (0.011999999999993 0.01)41.46% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.85% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)11.29% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (-0.345 -0.34)35.92% (0.34 0.34)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.58% (0.619 0.62)42.42% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.2% (0.527 0.53)78.8% (-0.53299999999999 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Hong Kong 67.59%
    Nepal 13.47%
    Draw 18.92%
Hong KongDrawNepal
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 8.28% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.52% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 67.59%
1-1 @ 8.96% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.92%
0-1 @ 4.11% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.76% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 13.47%

rhs 2.0


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