International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernando 30' yellowcard
  • Walter Soares Belitardo Junior 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ananta Tamang 37'
  • yellowcard Bimal Panday 85'
  • yellowcard Mani Kumar Lama 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mani Kumar Lama 90'+4'

Hong Kong vs Nepal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hong Kong

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 19, 2025 12.00pm
Hong Kong 2 - 0 Macao

Nepal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 12.30pm
Singapore 0 - 1 Nepal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hong Kong win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw has a probability of 18.9% and a win for Nepal has a probability of 13.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Nepal win it is 0-1 (4.11%).

Result

Hong Kong 67.6% (-0.62)
Draw 18.92% (+0.21)
Nepal 13.47% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.07% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.54% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 41.46% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 36.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 63.85% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.13% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.87% (-0.02)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 88.7% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 11.29% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 64.08% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 35.92% (+0.34)

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5 57.58% (+0.62)
Under 0.5 42.42% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 21.2% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 78.8% (-0.54)

Score analysis

Hong Kong 67.59%
Draw 18.92%
Nepal 13.47%
Hong Kong
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.15)
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 8.28% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.52% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.97% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 67.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.96% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.19% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.92%
Nepal
0-1 @ 4.11% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 3.84% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 1.76% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.2% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.1% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 13.47%