Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Macao had a probability of 7.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Macao win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hong Kong in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hong Kong.
0.41) 
-0.29) 
