International Friendlies
Mar 19, 2025 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mong Kok Stadium
  • Leon Jones 27' goal
  • Raphael Merkies 40' goal

Hong Kong vs Macao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hong Kong

All competitions

Macao

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Macao had a probability of 7.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Macao win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hong Kong in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hong Kong.

Result

Hong Kong 78.71% (+0.42)
Draw 13.4% (-0.30)
Macao 7.89% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.68% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.67% (+1.14)
Under 2.5 31.33% (-1.13)
Over 3.5 47.22% (+1.33)
Under 3.5 52.78% (-1.33)
Over 4.5 28.23% (+1.17)
Under 4.5 71.76% (-1.16)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 93.69% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 6.31% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 76.25% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 23.75% (-0.87)

Macao Goals

Over 0.5 54.09% (+0.58)
Under 0.5 45.9% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 18.35% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 81.65% (-0.45)

Score analysis

Hong Kong 78.7%
Draw 13.4%
Macao 7.89%
Hong Kong
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.29)
3-0 @ 10.18% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.36)
3-1 @ 7.93% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 7.03% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 5.48% (+0.15)
5-0 @ 3.89% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.09% (+0.08)
5-1 @ 3.03% (+0.14)
4-2 @ 2.13% (+0.09)
6-0 @ 1.79% (+0.08)
6-1 @ 1.39% (+0.09)
5-2 @ 1.18% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 78.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.23% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 3.35% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 13.4%
Macao
1-2 @ 2.43% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 2.26% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 7.89%