Friendlies 3

Mar 19, 2025 at 12pm UK

Mong Kok Stadium

Hong Kong
2 - 0
Macao

Jones (27'), Merkies (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Hong Kong and Macao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macao

Last Game: Macao 0-0 Myanmar
Tuesday, October 17 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Macao had a probability of 7.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Macao win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hong Kong in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hong Kong.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Macao
78.71% ( 0.41)	13.4% ( -0.29)	7.89% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 50.68% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.67% (

1.13)

31.33% (

-1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.22% (

1.32)

52.78% (

-1.32)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.69% (

0.32)

6.31% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.25% (

0.87)

23.75% (

-0.87)

Macao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.09% (

0.58)

45.9% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.35% (

0.45)

81.65% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Hong Kong 78.7%

Macao 7.89%

Draw 13.4%

Hong Kong	Draw	Macao
2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.93% Total : 78.7%	1-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.92% Total : 13.4%	1-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.2% Total : 7.89%