Friendlies 3

Nov 16, 2024 at 1pm UK

Dashrath Rangasala

Nepal
2 - 0
Afghanistan

Dangi (46'), Chand (78')
(23'), Kumar Lama (69'), (75'), (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

(42')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Nepal and Afghanistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

Last Game: Tajikistan 4-0 Nepal
Wednesday, November 13 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Afghanistan

Last Game: Kuwait 1-0 Afghanistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 4.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Nepal	Draw	Afghanistan
25.19% ( 0.26)	25.97% ( 0.21)	48.84% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.65% (

-0.6)

54.34% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.27% (

-0.5)

75.72% (

0.5)

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21% (

-0.11)

36.79% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

-0.1)

73.58% (

0.1)

Afghanistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

-0.46)

22.28% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27% (

-0.69)

55.73% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Nepal 25.19%

Afghanistan 48.83%

Draw 25.96%

Nepal	Draw	Afghanistan
1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 25.19%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.83%