Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.