International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2025 8.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Jonathan David 4' goal
  • Jonathan David 24' goal
  • Promise Akinpelu 31' goal
  • Jayden Nelson 68' yellowcard
  • Tajon Buchanan 81' goal
  • goal Illia Zabarnyi 89'
  • goal Oleksandr Zinchenko 90'+2'

Canada vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

Ukraine

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Ukraine has a probability of 29.43% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Ukraine win is 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Canada 45.91% (-0.02)
Draw 24.66% (+0.22)
Ukraine 29.43% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.48% (-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.74% (-1.09)
Under 2.5 46.25% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 31.45% (-1.03)
Under 3.5 68.54% (+1.03)
Over 4.5 15.69% (-0.74)
Under 4.5 84.31% (+0.73)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 79.77% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 20.23% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 47.44% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 52.55% (+0.72)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 70.8% (-0.70)
Under 0.5 29.2% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 34.85% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 65.14% (+0.86)

Score analysis

Canada 45.91%
Draw 24.65%
Ukraine 29.43%
Canada
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.02% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 45.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.91% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.65%
Ukraine
0-1 @ 7.27% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.48% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 29.43%