Canada vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Canada win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.