Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 12.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.13%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Guarani
66.09% ( -0.66)	21.57% ( 0.24)	12.34% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 39.88% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.15% (

-0.02)

54.85% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.85% (

-0.01)

76.15% (

0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1% (

-0.22)

15.9% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.86% (

-0.41)

45.14% (

0.41)

Guarani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.42% (

0.72)

52.58% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.62% (

0.45)

86.38% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Independiente 66.08%

Guarani 12.34%

Draw 21.58%

Independiente	Draw	Guarani
1-0 @ 15.37% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 14.13% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 66.08%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.58%	0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.06% Total : 12.34%