Jul 29, 2026 5.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 1

FT Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion

Tim Lemperle 6'
Tim Lemperle 41'
Max Moerstedt 82'

Phil Harres 29'

Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

W
L
W
D
W
W

Club Friendlies 3

W
L
D

Last game

Jul 18, 2026 2.30pm

SGV Freiberg 0 - 3 Hoffenheim

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

L
D
W
W
L
L

Club Friendlies 3

L
D
W
W
L
D

Last game

Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm

Mainz 3 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 56.01%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Hoffenheim 56.01% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 21.86% ▼ (-0.13)

Holstein Kiel 22.13% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

60.45% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.62% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 17.38% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 2.5 62.13% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 2.5 37.87% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 3.5 39.16% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 3.5 60.84% ▼ (-0.21)

Over 4.5 24.47% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 4.5 75.53% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Hoffenheim 43.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 36.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Holstein Kiel 20.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Hoffenheim 60.1% ▲ (+0.04)

No Goal 4.54% ▼ (-0.06)

Holstein Kiel 35.36% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Equal 8 10.68%

Under 8 22.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 9 55.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Equal 9 11.8%

Under 9 32.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 10.5 43.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 10.5 56.43% ▼ (-0.01)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 1.5 57.57% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 1.5 42.43% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 2.5 31.4% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 2.5 68.6% ▼ (-0.14)

Over 3.5 13.64% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 3.5 86.36% ▼ (-0.11)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 60.48% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 39.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 1.5 29.1% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 1.5 70.9% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 10.43% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 2.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 3.5 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 3.5 96.88% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 56.02%

Draw 21.85%

Holstein Kiel 22.13%

Hoffenheim

2-1 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.02)

1-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.07)

2-0 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.03)

3-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.03)

3-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 13.42% ▲ (+0.12)

Total : 56.02%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.07)

2-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.06)

3-3 @ 1.53%

Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 21.85%

Holstein Kiel

1-2 @ 6.12%

0-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 2.6%

1-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.03)

0-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.05)

Total : 22.13%

Head to Head

Jan 18, 2025 2.30pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT Holstein-Stadion

Magnus Knudsen 53'
Andu Yobel Kelati 84'
Timon Weiner 87'

Arthur Chaves 23'
Adam Hlozek 26'
Andrej Kramaric 45'+1'
Adam Hlozek 56'

Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm

3

2

HT : 2 0

FT Campo La Quinta

Andrej Kramaric 6'
Adam Hlozek 14'
Andrej Kramaric 37'
Andrej Kramaric 87'
Max Moerstedt 90'+3'

Timon Weiner 5'
Alexander Bernhardsson 63'
Andu Yobel Kelati 81'
Andu Yobel Kelati 82'
Shuto Machino 89'

Oct 26, 2021 5.30pm

5

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Johannes van den Bergh 3'
Hauke Wahl 31'
Kevin Akpoguma 46'
Angelo Stiller 59'
Moanes Dabour 72'
Jacob Bruun Larsen 84'

Phil Neumann 47'
Simon Lorenz 68'

Form Data

SGV Freiberg 0 - 3 Hoffenheim

Borussia M'bach 4 - 0 Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim 1 - 0 Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim 3 - 3 Stuttgart

Hamburger SV 1 - 2 Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Dortmund

Mainz 3 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Swansea 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 4 - 1 Al-Ahli

Holstein Kiel 2 - 1 SonderjyskE

Holstein Kiel 1 - 3 Fredericia

Dynamo Dresden 2 - 1 Holstein Kiel