CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage

Jun 28, 2023 at 1.45am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Guatemala
1 - 0
Cuba

Lom (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Guatemala and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 18 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cuba	0	0	0
2	Canada	0	0	0
3	Guatemala	0	0	0
4	Guadeloupe	0	0	0

Cuba

All competitions

Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Cuba
Wednesday, June 21 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cuba	0	0	0
2	Canada	0	0	0
3	Guatemala	0	0	0
4	Guadeloupe	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Cuba
67.27% ( 0.11)	19.79% ( -0.06)	12.94% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.46% (

0.14)

46.54% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.19% (

0.13)

68.81% (

-0.13)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.13% (

0.08)

12.87% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.74% (

0.15)

39.26% (

-0.15)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.56%

46.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.94% (

82.06%

Score Analysis

Guatemala 67.26%

Cuba 12.94%

Draw 19.79%

Guatemala	Draw	Cuba
2-0 @ 12.56% 1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 67.26%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.79%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.94%