CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 10, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores

Guatemala
0 - 0
Costa Rica

Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez (62'), Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guatemala and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Guatemala 3-1 Martinique
Friday, September 6 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Costa Rica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guadeloupe
Friday, September 6 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	3	4	7
2	Brazil	3	3	5
3	Costa Rica	3	-2	4
4	Paraguay	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Costa Rica
67.51% ( 9.74)	20.35% ( -3.64)	12.14% ( -6.1)

Both teams to score 42.69% (

-3.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.36% (

3.3)

50.64% (

-3.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.45% (

2.84)

72.55% (

-2.84)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.93% (

4.42)

14.07% (

-4.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.34% (

8.04)

41.66% (

-8.04)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.68% (

-6.68)

50.32% (

6.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.12% (

-5.05)

84.88% (

5.06)

Score Analysis

Guatemala 67.5%

Costa Rica 12.14%

Draw 20.35%

Guatemala	Draw	Costa Rica
1-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 13.61% ( 2.12) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 8.9% ( 2.43) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.75) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( 1.64) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.74) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.79) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.41) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.27% Total : 67.5%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( -1.76) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.99) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.74) Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.35%	0-1 @ 4.86% ( -1.83) 1-2 @ 3.28% ( -1.41) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -1.11) Other @ 2.34% Total : 12.14%