Copa Sudamericana
Apr 11, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres
  • Fernando Fernandez 11' goal
  • Fernando Fernandez 11' goal
  • Juan Patino 45'+5' goal
  • Juan Patino 45'+5' goal
  • Aldo Maiz 81' yellowcard
  • Aldo Maiz 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Torrico Franco 54'
  • yellowcard Andres Torrico Franco 54'
  • yellowcard Pedro Azogue 58'
  • yellowcard Pedro Azogue 58'
  • yellowcard Luis Fernando Pavia Mamani 88'
  • yellowcard Luis Fernando Pavia Mamani 88'
  • yellowcard Josue Hoyos 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Josue Hoyos 90'+3'

Guarani vs Nacional Potosi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guarani

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 1, 2025 11.00pm
Boston River 3 - 3 Guarani

Nacional Potosi

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 1, 2025 11.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Independiente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guarani would win this match.

Result

Guarani 38.14% (-1.55)
Draw 27.67% (+0.13)
Nacional Potosi 34.19% (+1.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.67% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.89% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 57.11% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 22.01% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 77.98% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 9.52% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 90.48% (+0.13)

Guarani Goals

Over 0.5 71% (-1.02)
Under 0.5 29% (+1.02)
Over 1.5 35.1% (-1.27)
Under 1.5 64.89% (+1.28)

Nacional Potosi Goals

Over 0.5 68.54% (+0.82)
Under 0.5 31.45% (-0.82)
Over 1.5 32.16% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 67.83% (-0.94)

Score analysis

Guarani 38.14%
Draw 27.67%
Nacional Potosi 34.18%
Guarani
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.06% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.12% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
Nacional Potosi
0-1 @ 10.54% (+0.33)
1-2 @ 7.55% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 6.1% (+0.33)
1-3 @ 2.91% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.18%