World Cup Gameweek 1
Germany
Jun 14, 2026 6.00pm
7
1
HT : 3 1
FT Houston Stadium
Curacao
  • Felix Nmecha 6' goal
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 38' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 47' goal
  • Kai Havertz 45'+5' goal
  • Nathaniel Brown 68' goal
  • Deniz Undav 78' goal
  • Kai Havertz 88' goal
  • goal Livano Comenencia 21'

Germany vs Curacao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Curacao

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%) , while for a Curacao win it was 0-1 (4.83%).

Result

Germany 65.6% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 21.1% ▲ (+0.16)
Curacao 13.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.95% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.6% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 26.4% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 2.5 49.6% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 50.4% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 28.55% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 71.45% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 18.27% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 81.73% ▲ (+0.15)

Germany Goals

Over 1.5 56.85% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 43.15% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 30.42% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 69.58% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 13.35% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 86.65% ▲ (+0.15)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5 43.96% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 56.04% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 15.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 84.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Germany 65.6%
Draw 21.1%
Curacao 13.33%
Germany
1-0 @ 14% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 13.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 13.25% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 65.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.24%
0-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.1%
Curacao
0-1 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 13.33%

Form Data

USA 1 - 2 Germany
Germany 4 - 0 Finland
Germany 2 - 1 Ghana
Germany 0 - 0 Ivory Coast
Switzerland 3 - 4 Germany
Germany 0 - 0 Slovakia
Curacao 4 - 0 Aruba
Scotland 4 - 1 Curacao
Australia 5 - 1 Curacao
China 2 - 0 Curacao
Jamaica 0 - 0 Curacao
Bermuda 0 - 7 Curacao

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