Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Théo Le Bris 26' goal
  • yellowcard 20'
  • yellowcard 48'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard 76'

Lorient vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 10.00am
Concarneau 1 - 2 Lorient

Nantes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 7.00pm
Fleury 91 0 - 5 Nantes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Lorient 38.71% (+0.06)
Draw 26.92% (-0.05)
Nantes 34.37% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.34% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.43% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 25.57% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.26% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 49.74% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 28.64% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 71.36% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 16% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 84% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Lorient 31.68% (+0.04)
Draw 43.96% (-0.01)
Nantes 24.36% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Lorient 50.32% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.57% (-0.05)
Nantes 42.11% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.98% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.59%
Under 8 31.43% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.25% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 43.02% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 34.36% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 65.64% (-0.02)

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 38.69% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 61.31% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 15.76% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 84.24% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.49% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.51% (-0.05)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 68.42% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.58% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.12% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 64.88% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.84% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.16% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.24% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.76% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Lorient 38.71%
Draw 26.93%
Nantes 34.36%
Lorient
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.37% (+0.05)
Total : 38.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 26.93%
Nantes
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.12% (+0.03)
Total : 34.36%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Bamba Dieng 32' goal
  • Sambou Soumano 66' yellowcard
  • Arthur Avom 66' yellowcard
  • Karim Dermane 74' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Adjei 74' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Bamba 85' yellowcard
  • Arsène Kouassi 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Kaba 60'
  • yellowcard Dehmaine Tabibou 61'
  • goal Matthis Abline 74'
  • yellowcard Youssef El Arabi 77'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Acapandié 78'
  • yellowcard Francis Coquelin 78'
Ligue 1
Nov 23, 2025 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Mostafa Mohamed 41' goal
  • goal Sambou Soumano 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • goal Jean-Charles Castelletto 49'
  • yellowcard Douglas 67'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pallois 69'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 4.00pm
5
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Matthis Abline 42' goal
  • Eray Comert 46' goal
  • Mostafa Mohamed 55' goal
  • Remy Descamps 81' yellowcard
  • Florent Mollet 83' goal
  • Moses Simon 90'+9' goal
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 6'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 53'
  • goal Romain Faivre 75'
  • goal Tosin Aiyegun 85'
  • yellowcard Romain Faivre 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Igor Silva 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 4.05pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ludovic Blas 66' goal