Club Friendlies 3
Jun 28, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Samara Arena
  • 48' goal
  • goal 41'

Krylia Sovetov vs Neftekhimik - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 1.00pm
Krylia Sovetov 0 - 1 Baltika

Neftekhimik

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 25, 2026 3.00pm
Orenburg 0 - 1 Neftekhimik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.07% and a win for Neftekhimik had a probability of 27.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%) , while for a Neftekhimik win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Krylia Sovetov 44.11% ▲ (+0.51)
Draw 28.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Neftekhimik 27.82% ▼ (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.93% ▼ (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.92% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 29.08% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 45.91% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 54.09% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 24.92% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 75.08% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 4.5 13.7% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 4.5 86.3% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Krylia Sovetov 32.66% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 43.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Neftekhimik 23.81% ▼ (-0.16)

Team To Score First

Krylia Sovetov 52.01% ▲ (+0.09)
No Goal 9.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Neftekhimik 38.74% ▼ (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 52.7% ▲ (+0.14)
Equal 8 11.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 35.66% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 41.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 47.3% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 10.5 31.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 68.99% ▼ (-0.08)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 1.5 40.38% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 59.62% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 16.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 83.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Neftekhimik Goals

Over 0.5 61.98% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 0.5 38.02% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 27.66% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 72.34% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 2.5 9.36% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 2.5 90.64% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 2.62% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 97.38% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Krylia Sovetov 44.1%
Draw 28.08%
Neftekhimik 27.82%
Krylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 11.43% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 44.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.08%
Neftekhimik
0-1 @ 8.4%
1-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 27.82%