Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftekhimik win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for FK Dinamo St. Petersburg had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neftekhimik win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest FK Dinamo St. Petersburg win was 0-1 (8.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.