Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftekhimik win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Sokol Saratov had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 31.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neftekhimik win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Sokol Saratov win was 1-0 (11.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.