Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amkar Perm win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.65% and a win for Neftekhimik had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Amkar Perm win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%) , while for a Neftekhimik win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.