Copa Libertadores
Oct 15, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Wesley Natã 90'+3' goal
  • Nonato 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal José Manuel López 45'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 49'
  • goal Marlon Freitas 85'
  • yellowcard Agustín Giay 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Mauricio 90'+6'

Fluminense vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Palmeiras

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 44.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.08%
Palmeiras 28.88% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.66% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.36%
Under 1.5 27.64%
Over 2.5 47.91%
Under 2.5 52.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.82% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 33.17%
Draw 43.49%
Palmeiras 23.34%

Team To Score First

Fluminense 50.46%
No Goal 8.08%
Palmeiras 41.46%

Corners

Over 8 61.6%
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 27.54%
Over 9 50.2%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 38.4%
Over 10.5 39.2%
Under 10.5 60.8%

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 41.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 63.41%
Under 0.5 36.59%
Over 1.5 29.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.88%
Under 3.5 97.12%

Score analysis

Fluminense 44.07%
Draw 27.09%
Palmeiras 28.88%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 44.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 27.09%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.88%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Hulk  42' goal
  • Guga 61' yellowcard
  • Agustín Canobbio 63' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 85' goal
  • Martinelli 86' yellowcard
  • Germán Cano  90'+2' goal
  • goal Gustavo Gómez   10'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Piquerez 34'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 73'
  • goal Mauricio 82'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Vitor Roque 9' yellowcard
  • Allan 13' goal
  • Agustín Giay 59' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 59' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 70' yellowcard
  • Ramón Sosa 70' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otávio 25'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 40'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo  46'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 61'
  • yellowcard Hércules  61'
  • yellowcard Hércules  62'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Moreno 87'
Brasileiro
Nov 23, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2025 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Marcos Rocha 85' yellowcard
  • Estevao Willian 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 6'
  • goal Kevin Serna 37'
  • yellowcard German Cano 41'
  • yellowcard Fabio 83'
  • yellowcard Kaua Elias Nogueira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 25, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Thiago 19' yellowcard
  • Thiago 19' yellowcard
  • Ganso 42' yellowcard
  • Ganso 42' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 87' goal
  • Jhon Arias 87' goal
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 31'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 31'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 43'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 43'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 57'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 57'