Nations League
Gameweek
3
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-
Rasmus Peetson
5'
-
Jurgen Henn
43'
-
Märten Kuusk
73'
-
Karol Mets
82'
-
Markus Poom
88'
-
Enes Mahmutovic
29'
-
Omar Natami
68'
-
Vahid Selimovic
78'
-
Leandro Barreiro
84'
-
Eldin Dzogovic
85'
-
Vincent Thill
85'
-
Mathias Olesen
87'
Estonia vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result
Estonia
26.52%
▼
(-0.93)
Draw
25.95%
▼
(-1.02)
Luxembourg
47.49%
▲
(+1.88)
Both Teams to Score:
47.54%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.66%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
29.34%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
45.59%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
54.41%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
24.58%
Under 3.5
75.39%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
13.48%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
86.52%
▲
(+0.10)
First Half Winner
Estonia
21.76%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
47.68%
▲
(+0.76)
Luxembourg
30.56%
▼
(-0.57)
Team To Score First
Estonia
39.13%
▲
(+0.50)
No Goal
8.64%
▼
(-0.12)
Luxembourg
52.23%
▼
(-0.38)
Corners
Over 8
40.8%
▲
(+1.48)
Equal 8
11.96%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 8
47.25%
▼
(-1.30)
Over 9
30.14%
▲
(+1.45)
Equal 9
10.66%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 9
59.2%
▼
(-1.48)
Over 10.5
21.38%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 10.5
78.62%
▼
(-1.26)
Estonia Goals
Over 1.5
25.89%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 1.5
74.11%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 2.5
8.24%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 2.5
91.76%
▲
(+0.85)
Over 3.5
2.38%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 3.5
97.62%
▲
(+0.30)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5
74.64%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 0.5
25.36%
▼
(-0.75)
Over 1.5
42.44%
▲
(+1.29)
Under 1.5
57.56%
▼
(-1.29)
Over 2.5
18.27%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 2.5
81.73%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 3.5
6.27%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
93.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Estonia
26.52%
Draw
25.96%
Luxembourg
47.5%
Estonia
1-0
@
8.63%
▼
(-0.30)
2-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 26.52%
2-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 26.52%
Draw
1-1
@
11.87%
▼
(-0.57)
0-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 25.96%
0-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 25.96%
Luxembourg
0-1
@
12.05%
▲
(+0.19)
1-2 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.61)
1-3 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 47.5%
1-2 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.61)
1-3 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 47.5%
Head to Head
International Friendlies