AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
NEC
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
PSV
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie
May 25, 2025 at 5pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FC Twente logo

AZ
3 - 2
FC Twente

Meerdink (43'), van Bommel (53'), Sadiq (90+3')
Mijnans (5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Steijn (22' pen., 40')
van Wolfswinkel (45+4'), Taha (65'), Hilgers (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last Game: AZ 4-1 Heerenveen
Thursday, May 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

FC Twente

All competitions
Last Game: FC Twente 3-2 Nijmegen
Thursday, May 22 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Twente
69.16%17.76%13.07%
Both teams to score 54.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.05%36.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.87%59.13%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.34%9.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.76%32.24%
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88%40.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24%76.76%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 69.16%
    FC Twente 13.07%
    Draw 17.76%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Twente
2-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 4.82%
4-1 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 3.44%
5-0 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 69.16%
1-1 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.41%
0-0 @ 3.88%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.76%
1-2 @ 3.78%
0-1 @ 3.54%
0-2 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.34%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 13.07%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Winner Semi-final 2
5.0%
20
Head to Head
May 14, 2025 7pm
Gameweek 33
FC Twente
2-3
AZ
Van Wolfswinkel (13'), Vlap (23')
van Hoorenbeeck (73')
Van Bommel (3'), Mijnans (45+1'), Kasius (71')
Koopmeiners (84'), Daal (87')
> Preview
Dec 21, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 17
AZ
1-0
FC Twente
Parrott (48')
Penetra (45+1'), Goes (53'), Clasie (90+5')

Lagerbielke (30'), van Wolfswinkel (36'), Rots (65'), Kuipers (90+5')
> Preview
May 5, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 32
AZ
2-1
FC Twente
Van Bommel (46'), Pavlidis (66')
van Bommel (8'), Sadiq (50'), Belic (59')
Steijn (5')
Propper (30')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (42', 70')
Eiting (66'), Taha (86'), Propper (90+2')
Odgaard (4')
Martins Indi (65'), Bazoer (86')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 26
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (8', 11')
Karlsson (66')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122
> Eredivisie Full Table


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