May 25, 2025 5.00pm

3

2

HT : 1 2

FT AFAS Stadion

Sven Mijnans 5'
Mexx Meerdink 43'
Ruben van Bommel 53'
Ibrahim Sadiq 90'+3'

Sem Steijn 22'
Sem Steijn 40'
Ricky van Wolfswinkel 45'+4'
Younes Taha 65'
Mees Hilgers 69'

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

AZ vs. FC Twente - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: AZ vs. FC Twente - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 23 May 2025 20:12

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

W
D
W
W
W
D

Eredivisie

W
D
W
W
W
D

Last game

May 22, 2025 5.45pm

AZ 4 - 1 Heerenveen

Goals scored

65

Top scorer

Troy Parrott

FC Twente

All competitions

W
L
L
W
W
L

Eredivisie

W
L
L
W
W
L

Last game

May 22, 2025 8.00pm

FC Twente 3 - 2 Nijmegen

Goals scored

67

Top scorer

Sem Steijn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 69.16%

Draw 17.76%

FC Twente 13.07%

Both Teams to Score:

54.09%

Goals

Over 2.5 63.05%

Under 2.5 36.95%

Over 3.5 40.87%

Under 3.5 59.13%

Over 4.5 22.84%

Under 4.5 77.16%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 90.34%

Under 0.5 9.66%

Over 1.5 67.76%

Under 1.5 32.24%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5 59.88%

Under 0.5 40.12%

Over 1.5 23.24%

Under 1.5 76.76%

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 69.16%

Draw 17.76%

FC Twente 13.07%

AZ Alkmaar

2-0 @ 10.58%

2-1 @ 9.67%

1-0 @ 9.06%

3-0 @ 8.25%

3-1 @ 7.53%

4-0 @ 4.82%

4-1 @ 4.4%

3-2 @ 3.44%

5-0 @ 2.25%

5-1 @ 2.06%

4-2 @ 2.01%

Other @ 5.1%

Total : 69.16%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.27%

2-2 @ 4.41%

0-0 @ 3.88%

3-3 @ 1.05%

Other @ 0.15%

Total : 17.76%

FC Twente

1-2 @ 3.78%

0-1 @ 3.54%

0-2 @ 1.62%

2-3 @ 1.34%

1-3 @ 1.15%

Other @ 1.64%

Total : 13.07%

Head to Head

May 14, 2025 7.00pm

2

3

HT : 2 2

FT De Grolsch Veste

Ricky van Wolfswinkel 13'
Michel Vlap 23'
Alec van Hoorenbeeck 73'

Ruben van Bommel 3'
Sven Mijnans 45'+1'
Denso Kasius 71'
Peer Koopmeiners 84'
Ro-Zangelo Daal 87'

Dec 21, 2024 7.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT AFAS Stadion

Alexandre Penetra 45'+1'
Troy Parrott 48'
Wouter Goes 53'
Jordy Clasie 90'+5'

Gustaf Lagerbielke 30'
Ricky van Wolfswinkel 36'
Daan Rots 65'
Bas Kuipers 90'+5'

May 5, 2024 3.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 2

FT AFAS Stadion

Ruben van Bommel 8'
Ruben van Bommel 8'
Ruben van Bommel 46'
Ibrahim Sadiq 50'
Kristijan Belic 59'
Vangelis Pavlidis 66'

Sem Steijn 5'
Sem Steijn 5'
Robin Propper 30'
Robin Propper 30'

Jan 13, 2024 5.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT De Grolsch Veste

Manfred Ugalde 42'
Carel Eiting 66'
Manfred Ugalde 70'
Younes Taha 86'
Robin Propper 90'+2'

Jens Odgaard 4'
Bruno Martins Indi 65'
Riechedly Bazoer 86'

Mar 19, 2023 7.00pm

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Manfred Ugalde 8'
Manfred Ugalde 11'

Jesper Karlsson 66'

Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Jens Odgaard 54'

Manfred Ugalde 81'

Form Data

AZ 4 - 1 Heerenveen

AZ 1 - 1 Almere City

FC Twente 2 - 3 AZ

AZ 3 - 0 Groningen

Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 3 AZ

AZ 1 - 1 NAC Breda

FC Twente 3 - 2 Nijmegen

Ajax 2 - 0 FC Twente

FC Twente 2 - 3 AZ

FC Twente 2 - 0 Utrecht

Sparta 0 - 2 FC Twente

FC Twente 1 - 3 PSV