Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 55.24%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.95%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.