Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.