Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.