Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 52.89%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (5.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.