World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 5pm UK

AEK Arena - George Karapatakis

Cyprus
2 - 0
San Marino

Pittas (55'), Kakoullis (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Valli Casadei (76'), Tosi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Cyprus and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 4-1 Cyprus
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	0	0	0
2	Cyprus	0	0	0
3	Lithuania	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

San Marino

All competitions

Last Game: Liechtenstein 1-3 San Marino
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	San Marino
55.62% ( 2.63)	24.69% ( -0.76)	19.69% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 46.28% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.27% (

0.76)

54.73% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.95% (

0.63)

76.04% (

-0.63)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.38% (

1.36)

19.61% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.44% (

2.17)

51.56% (

-2.17)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.57% (

-1.56)

42.43% (

1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.2% (

-1.37)

78.8% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 55.61%

San Marino 19.69%

Draw 24.69%

Cyprus	Draw	San Marino
1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.61%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.69%