Europa League
Jul 30, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
ET Stadion Bâlgarska Armija
  • Bruno Jordão 39' yellowcard
  • Leandro Godoy 48' yellowcard
  • James Eto'o 75' yellowcard
  • Ángelo Martino 95' yellowcard
  • Teodor Ivanov 105'+3' yellowcard
  • Joël Zwarts 112' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Jankovic 50'
  • yellowcard Bence Várkonyi 55'
  • yellowcard Joni Montiel 107'

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Sofia

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
Qarabag 0 - 0 CSKA Sofia

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
Qarabag 0 - 0 CSKA Sofia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

CSKA Sofia 32.01% (-0.02)
Draw 22.91%
Qarabag FK 45.08%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.38% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.61% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 62.21% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 37.79% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 40.3% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 59.7% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 25.8% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 74.2% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

CSKA Sofia 24.96% (-0.04)
Draw 41.68% (+0.01)
Qarabag FK 33.36% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

CSKA Sofia 43.64% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.89% (+0.01)
Qarabag FK 51.47% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.82% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.83% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.35%
Over 9 47.69% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.13%
Under 9 41.18% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 37.15% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 62.85% (-0.02)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 1.5 38.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.68% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.03% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 82.97% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.44% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.56% (+0.02)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 76.82% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.18% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.99% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.01% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 10.98% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.02% (+0.01)

Score analysis

CSKA Sofia 32%
Draw 22.91%
Qarabag FK 45.08%
CSKA Sofia
2-1 @ 7.31%
1-0 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.02%
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23%
Other @ 6.01% (-0.01)
Total : 32%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.91%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 8.53% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.47% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 3.84%
Other @ 10.55% (-0.01)
Total : 45.08%

Head to Head

Europa League
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Marko Jankovic 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Godoy 35'
  • yellowcard Facundo Rodríguez 77'
Club Friendlies 3
Jun 27, 2026 4.00pm
Stadion Vasil Levski