Club Friendlies 3
Jul 1, 2026 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Groupama Aréna
  • 28' goal

Qarabag FK vs Ferencvaros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 1, 2026 12.00pm
Qarabag 2 - 6 Metalist Kharkiv

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 15, 2026 1.00pm
Ferencvaros 1 - 1 Midtjylland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Qarabag FK 42.81% (-0.06)
Draw 25.69% (+0.07)
Ferencvaros 31.5% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.37% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.65% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 19.35% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 59.63% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 40.37% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.74% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 63.26% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 21.84% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 78.16% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Qarabag FK 33.09% (+0.09)
Draw 38.43% (-0.15)
Ferencvaros 28.48% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Qarabag FK 50.2% (-0.16)
No Goal 5.39% (-0.02)
Ferencvaros 44.41% (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 57.92% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.32% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.76% (-0.01)
Over 9 46.37% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.55% (+0.03)
Under 9 42.08% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.55% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 64.45% (+0.05)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 1.5 47.08%
Under 1.5 52.92%
Over 2.5 22.43% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.57% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.94% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.06% (-0.04)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5 68.93% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.07% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.71% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.29% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 15.7% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 84.3% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.49% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.51% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 42.81%
Draw 25.69%
Ferencvaros 31.49%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.72% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.94% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.44%
Total : 42.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.8% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.93% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.5% (+0.04)
Total : 25.69%
Ferencvaros
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.23% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 3.32% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.99% (+0.03)
Total : 31.49%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 27, 2025 5.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Aug 19, 2025 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Aug 9, 2022 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
  • Rasmus Thelander 30' yellowcard
  • Franck Boli 34' yellowcard
  • Endre Botka 84' yellowcard
  • Adama Traore 86' goal
  • goal Richard 7'
  • yellowcard Marko Jankovic 31'
  • goal Ibrahima Wadji 54'
  • yellowcard Tural Bayramov 62'
  • goal Ibrahima Wadji 78'
  • yellowcard Richard 84'
  • yellowcard Leandro Andrade 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Marko Vesovic 90'+3'
Champions League
Aug 3, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Groupama Aréna
  • Marko Jankovic 28' yellowcard
  • Owusu Kwabena 34' goal
  • Bahlul Mustafazada 66' yellowcard
  • goal Franck Boli 17'
  • yellowcard Endre Botka 61'
  • yellowcard Adnan Kovacevic 82'