Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.