Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.98% and a win for Diosgyor had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.24%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%) , while for a Diosgyor win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.