Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zalaegerszegi TE win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zalaegerszegi TE win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-0 (9.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.