Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Diosgyor had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%) , while for a Diosgyor win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.