Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 1-2 (6.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.