Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-0 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.