Hungarian NB I Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 12.30pm
Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion

MTK vs Diosgyor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MTK

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.15pm
Debrecen 2 - 2 MTK
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Robert Polievka

Diosgyor

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 4.00pm
Diosgyor 1 - 1 Zalaegerszegi TE
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Elton Acolatse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MTK win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Diosgyor has a probability of 25.74% and a draw has a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a MTK win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.16%) and 3-1 (6.16%). The likeliest Diosgyor win is 1-2 (6.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.91%).

Result

MTK 52.33% (-0.08)
Draw 21.93% (+0.02)
Diosgyor 25.74% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.31% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.26% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 13.74% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 68.45% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 31.55% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 46% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 54% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 30.26% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 69.74% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

MTK 38.26% (-0.02)
Draw 35.76% (-0.03)
Diosgyor 25.98% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

MTK 53.66% (-0.08)
No Goal 3.5% (-0.01)
Diosgyor 42.84% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 61.13% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11% (+0.02)
Under 8 27.87% (-0.17)
Over 9 49.62% (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.51% (+0.04)
Under 9 38.87% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 38.57% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 61.43% (-0.05)

MTK Goals

Over 1.5 58.5% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 41.5% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 33.26% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 66.74% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 16.02% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 83.98% (+0.05)

Diosgyor Goals

Over 0.5 64.19% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 35.81% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 35.54% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.46% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.95% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.05% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.46% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.54% (-0.03)

Score analysis

MTK 52.33%
Draw 21.93%
Diosgyor 25.74%
MTK
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 15.46% (-0.06)
Total : 52.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.91%
2-2 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.56% (+0.02)
Total : 21.93%
Diosgyor
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.08% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.9% (+0.03)
Total : 25.74%

Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
Nov 22, 2025 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Hungarian NB I
Aug 9, 2025 4.45pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Hungarian NB I Gameweek 32
May 17, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Diosgyori Stadion
  • Marko Rakonjac 49' goal
  • Kevin Kallai 66' goal
  • Sinisa Sanicanin 83' yellowcard
  • Milan Demeter 88' yellowcard
  • Zoltan Daniel Nagy 88' yellowcard
  • Alex Vallejo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artur Horvath 2'
  • goal Zsombor Gruber 17'
  • yellowcard Zsombor Nagy 54'
Hungarian NB I Gameweek 21
Feb 21, 2025 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion
  • Patrik Kovacs 26' goal
  • Marin Jurina 41' goal
  • Tamas Kadar 58' goal
  • Benedek Varju 78' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Gera 50'
Hungarian NB I Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Diosgyori Stadion
  • goal Mark Kosznovszky 2'
  • goal Rajmund Molnar 42'
  • yellowcard Marin Jurina 73'
  • yellowcard Mark Kosznovszky 84'
Hungarian NB I Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion
  • Istvan Bognar 31' goal
  • Gergo Kocsis 43' yellowcard
  • Patrik Kovacs 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franchu 74'
  • goal Pernambuco 85'