Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 3-1 (6.31%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-2 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.