Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for MTK had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.